College Football Playoff Odds: Tennessee Out; Michigan, Ohio State, USC, TCU Survive Week 12 – VSiN Exclusive News – News

All the Tennessee Volunteers had to do was encourage a little mayhem and their ticket to the College Football Playoffs would be punched. They went into Saturday’s game against South Carolina as a 22.5-point favorite and would be an even bigger favorite against Vanderbilt in Week 13. Instead, the Volunteers pulled out of playoff contention in one day with an ugly 63-38 loss. The Ohio State Buckeyes, Michigan Wolverines, USC Trojans and TCU Horned Frogs all narrowly survived their games.

Michigan and TCU needed last-second field goals against Illinois and Baylor, respectively, to remain undefeated. Ohio State beat Maryland by 13, but the game hung in the balance the whole time, and a last-second scoop-and-score for the Buckeyes made the final score look better than it was. USC won a back-and-forth game against UCLA 48-45 to capture the victory bell.

Tennessee went into the College Football Playoffs as a Week 12 favorite at around -350. The loser of next week’s Ohio State vs. Michigan game would be out, giving the Vols a clear path. USC needed to beat UCLA, Notre Dame and win against an opponent yet to be determined in the Pac-12 championship game. TCU had to beat Baylor, Iowa State, and then take care of the Big 12 championship in Arlington as well. Tennessee simply had to assert themselves as heavy favorites and failed.

With the Volunteers firmly in the running, the path is much clearer for a team like the Clemson Tigers, who need to beat South Carolina and the North Carolina Tar Heels in the ACC Championship Game to have a strong 12-1 playoff case . A team from Tar Heels who just lost at home to Georgia Tech in a day of college football carnage. Now, Clemson is the team that just has to not screw up and hope for someone else’s bubble to burst.

College Football Playoff National Championship Odds (DraftKings)

Georgia -150

State of Ohio +240 Michigan +1000 TCU +1600 Clemson +2200 USC +3000 LSU +3500 Oregon +8000 Washington +50000

Even if Georgia does the unthinkable and loses to Georgia Tech next week (my line is Georgia -41), they’ll be in it unless they also lost to LSU. As such, they are the rightful favorites to win it all. The rest of the hopefuls start with Ohio State at +240, followed by Michigan at +1000, TCU at +1600 and Clemson at +2200. Although USC passed the test against UCLA, the Trojans still have +3000 to win it all, with a tough remaining schedule just to be in the Final Four and then a tough draw in the semifinals regardless of opponent.

LSU would have to beat Georgia in the SEC championship game to come in as an underdog by about 16 or 17 points. Then they would have to beat Georgia again to win it all, so +3500 is nowhere near valuable enough as a rolling moneyline (betting straight on LSU every game) is a much more valuable bet. Oregon would still need help getting in, even with wins over Oregon State and USC, as would Washington.

We’ll see what the yes/no odds are for the college football playoffs, but TCU has the inside lane as a favorite in both remaining games, and USC controls its own destiny as well. Clemson still needs some help, but could very well get it with a loss from TCU or USC. The Tigers will be double-digit favorites against South Carolina this week and will likely be somewhere around a six-point favorite against North Carolina in the ACC Championship game.

Caleb Williams (USC) also shot up the Heisman Trophy odds, with Hendon Hooker injured and Tennessee going under. CJ Stroud remains the -120 favorite per DraftKings, but Williams is +130 in what appears to be a two-man race.

With much still to be decided, there are many handicap considerations and we will be talking about all the scenarios and best bets here at and on our VSiN airwaves.